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Market Snapshot: March 2024

Wednesday, 3rd April, 2024 // Property Market News

Welcome to our March 24 Property Market Snapshot.

March at a glance

  • In March, Home Values saw a 1.6% increase, translating to an approximate $12,000 rise in dwelling values. 
  • Most major cities experienced a rise in dwelling values, with Perth leading at 1.9%, followed by Adelaide and Brisbane. Melbourne was the only city with a negative quarterly movement (-0.2%).
  • Unit rents surpassed house rents in the combined capitals, rising by 2.9% compared to 2.7% for houses. 

Dwelling values

During March, home values nationally saw a 1.6% increase, translating to an approximate $12,000 rise in dwelling values. This marks the 14th consecutive month of housing value growth. Since the downturn between April 2022 and January 2023, the national Home Value Index has surged by 10.2%, consistently reaching new record highs since November last year.

Most major cities experienced a rise in dwelling values, with Perth leading at 1.9%, followed by Adelaide and Brisbane. Melbourne was the only city to show a negative quarterly movement (-0.2%).

The strongest growth conditions have shifted towards lower-priced properties in most major cities. Regional housing markets also experienced a rise in values, with regional Victoria showing the weakest growth conditions.

Home sales in the first quarter were estimated to be 9.5% higher than the same period last year.

Source: CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index, 2 April 2024.

Rental market

During the month, the national rental index surged by 2.8%, marking the most rapid quarterly growth since May 2022. While some of this growth can be attributed to seasonal patterns, the overall trend in rental growth has been on the rise since October last year, suggesting a sustained acceleration rather than just seasonal fluctuations.

Unit rents outpaced house rents in the combined capitals, rising by 2.9% compared to 2.7% for houses in the March quarter. However, there’s a gradual convergence in the growth rates between house and unit rentals.

With rents increasing faster than housing values once again, there’s renewed upward pressure on rental yields. Nationally, the gross rental yield reached 3.75%, its highest level since October 2019. Melbourne particularly stands out with a significant rise in gross rental yields, attributed to a decline in dwelling values coupled with a substantial surge in rents over the past two years.

Source: CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index, 2 April 2024.

Outlook

Despite facing obstacles such as high interest rates and living expenses, housing markets are displaying resilience, with widespread increases in both property values and rents observed across urban and regional areas. There’s a positive outlook for housing values, driven by expectations of forthcoming interest rate reductions, which could enhance borrowing capacity and consumer confidence.

Population growth remains robust, outpacing housing completions, indicating a persistent undersupply situation. Although migration rates may slow down, the demand-supply gap is expected to endure.

While housing values are anticipated to climb, challenges like affordability concerns, escalating expenses, and stagnant incomes remain. This could potentially prompt a shift in demand towards more affordable housing options, particularly in suburban and multi-unit markets.

The simultaneous rise in rental yields and expectations of further housing value appreciation present an appealing opportunity for property investors. However, new investors may face challenges as average investor mortgage rates remain relatively high, potentially leading to cash flow deficits unless substantial deposits are provided.

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Source: CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index, 2 April 2024.

 

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